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Are Regional Habitat Models Useful at a Local-Scale? A Case Study of Threatened and Common Insectivorous Bats in South-Eastern Australia

机译:区域生境模型在地方规模上有用吗?东南澳大利亚受威胁和常见食虫性蝙蝠的案例研究

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摘要

Habitat modelling and predictive mapping are important tools for conservation planning, particularly for lesser known species such as many insectivorous bats. However, the scale at which modelling is undertaken can affect the predictive accuracy and restrict the use of the model at different scales. We assessed the validity of existing regional-scale habitat models at a local-scale and contrasted the habitat use of two morphologically similar species with differing conservation status (Mormopterus norfolkensis and Mormopterus species 2). We used negative binomial generalised linear models created from indices of activity and environmental variables collected from systematic acoustic surveys. We found that habitat type (based on vegetation community) best explained activity of both species, which were more active in floodplain areas, with most foraging activity recorded in the freshwater wetland habitat type. The threatened M. norfolkensis avoided urban areas, which contrasts with M. species 2 which occurred frequently in urban bushland. We found that the broad habitat types predicted from local-scale models were generally consistent with those from regional-scale models. However, threshold-dependent accuracy measures indicated a poor fit and we advise caution be applied when using the regional models at a fine scale, particularly when the consequences of false negatives or positives are severe. Additionally, our study illustrates that habitat type classifications can be important predictors and we suggest they are more practical for conservation than complex combinations of raw variables, as they are easily communicated to land managers.
机译:栖息地建模和预测性制图是进行保护规划的重要工具,尤其是对于鲜为人知的物种(例如许多食虫蝙蝠)而言。但是,进行建模的规模可能会影响预测准确性,并限制在不同规模下使用模型。我们评估了现有的区域尺度生境模型在地方尺度上的有效性,并对比了两种形态相似,具有不同保护状态的物种(莫尔莫克诺斯(Mormopterus norfolkensis)和Mormopterus物种2)在栖息地上的利用。我们使用了从活动指数和从系统声学调查收集的环境变量创建的负二项式广义线性模型。我们发现,栖息地类型(基于植被群落)最能解释这两种物种的活动,这两种物种在洪泛区更为活跃,其中大多数觅食活动记录在淡水湿地栖息地类型中。受威胁的诺福克支原体避开了城市地区,这与城市丛林中经常发生的支原体2形成对比。我们发现,根据地方尺度模型预测的广泛生境类型通常与根据区域尺度模型预测的生境类型一致。但是,依赖于阈值的准确性度量表明拟合度较差,我们建议谨慎使用区域模型时要谨慎,尤其是当假阴性或阳性后果严重时,尤其如此。此外,我们的研究表明,栖息地类型分类可能是重要的预测指标,并且我们建议,与原始变量的复杂组合相比,栖息地类型分类更易于保护,因为它们很容易传达给土地管理者。

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