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Rural Poor Economies and Foreign Investors: An Opportunity or a Risk?

机译:农村贫困经济体和外国投资者:机会还是风险?

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摘要

In the current age of commercial and financial openness, remote and poor local economies are becoming increasingly exposed to inflows of external capital. The new investors - enjoying lower credit constraints than local dwellers - might play a propulsive role in local development. At the same time, inflows of external capital can have negative impacts on local natural resource-dependent activities. We analyze a two-sector model where both sectors damage the environment, but only that of domestic producers relies on natural resources. We assess under which conditions the coexistence of the two sectors is compatible with sustainability, defined as convergence to a stationary state characterized by a positive stock of the natural resource. Moreover, we find that capital inflows can be stimulated by an increase in the pollution intensity of incoming activities, but also in the pollution intensity of the domestic sector; in both cases, capital inflows generate environmental degradation and a decrease in welfare for the local population. Finally, we show that a reduction in the cost of capital for external investors and the consequent capital inflows have the effect to increase wages, local investments and welfare of the local populations only if the environmental impact of the external sector is relatively low with respect to that of local activities. Otherwise, an unexpected scenario characterized by a reduction in domestic capital accumulation and the impoverishment of local agents can occur.
机译:在当前的商业和金融开放时代,偏远和贫穷的地方经济越来越暴露于外部资本的流入。与本地居民相比,新的投资者享有较低的信贷限制,它们可能在当地发展中发挥推动作用。同时,外部资本的流入会对当地依赖自然资源的活动产生负面影响。我们分析了两个部门的模型,其中两个部门都破坏环境,但只有国内生产者的模型依赖自然资源。我们评估在哪些条件下两个部门的共存与可持续性兼容,可持续性定义为向以自然资源正储备为特征的平稳状态的趋同。此外,我们发现,流入活动的污染强度增加,但国内部门的污染强度增加,都可以刺激资本流入。在这两种情况下,资本流入都会导致环境恶化,并降低当地居民的福利。最后,我们表明,只有在外部部门对环境的影响相对较低的情况下,减少外部投资者的资本成本和随之而来的资本流入才有可能增加工资,地方投资和当地居民的福利。当地活动。否则,可能会出现意料不到的情况,即国内资本积累减少和当地代理商的贫困。

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