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Blue skies over China: The effect of pollution-control on solar power generation and revenues

机译:中国的蓝天:污染控制对太阳能发电和收入的影响

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摘要

Air pollution is the single most important environmental health risk, causing about 7 million premature deaths annually worldwide. China is the world’s largest emitter of anthropogenic air pollutants, which causes major negative health consequences. The Chinese government has implemented several policies to reduce air pollution, with success in some but far from all sectors. In addition to the health benefits, reducing air pollution will have side-benefits, such as an increase in the electricity generated by the solar photovoltaic panels via an increase in surface solar irradiance through a reduction of haze and aerosol-impacted clouds. We use the global aerosol-climate model ECHAM6-HAM2 with the bottom-up emissions inventory from the Community Emission Data System and quantify the geographically specific increases in generation and economic revenue to the Chinese solar photovoltaic fleet as a result of reducing or eliminating air pollution from the energy, industrial, transport, and residential and commercial sectors. We find that by 2040, the gains will be substantial: the projected solar photovoltaic fleet would produce between 85–158 TWh/year of additional power in clean compared to polluted air, generating US$6.9–10.1 billion of additional annual revenues in the solar photovoltaic sector alone. Furthermore, we quantify the cost of adopting best-practice emission standards in all sectors and find that the revenue gains from the increased solar photovoltaic generation could offset up to about 13–17% of the costs of strong air pollution control measures designed to reach near-zero emissions in all sectors. Hence, reducing air pollution in China will not only have clear health benefits, but the side-effect of increased solar power generation would also offset a sizeable share of the costs of air pollution control measures.
机译:空气污染是最重要的环境健康风险,全世界每年造成约700万人过早死亡。中国是世界上最大的人为污染源,对健康造成重大负面影响。中国政府已实施了几项减少空气污染的政策,但在某些领域取得了成功,但远未达到所有领域。除了对健康有益之外,减少空气污染还将带来一些副作用,例如通过减少雾霾和气溶胶影响的云,通过增加表面太阳辐照度来增加太阳能光伏板发电量。我们使用全球气溶胶气候模型ECHAM6-HAM2,并结合了社区排放数据系统的自下而上的排放清单,并量化了由于减少或消除了空气污染而给中国太阳能光伏船队带来的地理上特定的发电量和经济收入增长来自能源,工业,交通运输以及住宅和商业领域。我们发现,到2040年,收益将是可观的:与污染的空气相比,预计的太阳能光伏车队每年将产生85-158 TWh的清洁电力,这将为太阳能光伏产业带来69-11.0亿美元的额外年收入仅部门。此外,我们对所有行业采用最佳实践排放标准的成本进行了量化,发现增加的太阳能光伏发电所产生的收入收益可以抵销旨在达到接近目标的强有力的空气污染控制措施的成本的约13–17% -所有部门的零排放。因此,减少空气污染在中国不仅具有明显的健康益处,而且太阳能发电量增加的副作用也将抵消空气污染控制措施成本中的很大一部分。

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