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Causal Discovery from Discrete Data using Hidden Compact Representation

机译:使用隐藏的紧凑表示法从离散数据中发现因果关系

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摘要

Causal discovery from a set of observations is one of the fundamental problems across several disciplines. For continuous variables, recently a number of causal discovery methods have demonstrated their effectiveness in distinguishing the cause from effect by exploring certain properties of the conditional distribution, but causal discovery on categorical data still remains to be a challenging problem, because it is generally not easy to find a compact description of the causal mechanism for the true causal direction. In this paper we make an attempt to find a way to solve this problem by assuming a two-stage causal process: the first stage maps the cause to a hidden variable of a lower cardinality, and the second stage generates the effect from the hidden representation. In this way, the causal mechanism admits a simple yet compact representation. We show that under this model, the causal direction is identifiable under some weak conditions on the true causal mechanism. We also provide an effective solution to recover the above hidden compact representation within the likelihood framework. Empirical studies verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach on both synthetic and real-world data.
机译:从一组观察中得出因果关系是跨多个学科的基本问题之一。对于连续变量,最近,许多因果发现方法已经证明了其通过探索条件分布的某些属性来区分原因与结果的有效性,但是对分类数据进行因果发现仍然是一个具有挑战性的问题,因为这通常不容易寻找对真正因果关系的因果机制的简要描述。在本文中,我们尝试通过假设两阶段的因果过程来找到解决此问题的方法:第一阶段将原因映射到基数较低的隐藏变量,第二阶段从隐藏表示中生成结果。这样,因果机制就可以接受简单而紧凑的表示。我们表明,在此模型下,在真正的因果机制上的某些弱条件下,因果方向是可识别的。我们还提供了一种有效的解决方案,以在可能性框架内恢复上述隐藏的紧凑表示。实证研究证实了该方法在合成和真实数据上的有效性。

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