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Anomaly detection in Bitcoin market via price return analysis

机译:通过价格回报分析检测比特币市场中的异常

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摘要

The Bitcoin market becomes the focus of the economic market since its birth, and it has attracted wide attention from both academia and industry. Due to the absence of regulations in the Bitcoin market, it may be easier to bring some kinds of illegal behaviors. Thus, it raises an interesting question: Is there abnormity or illegal behavior in Bitcoin platforms? To answer this question, we investigate the abnormity in five leading Bitcoin platforms. By analyzing the financial index, i.e. the normalized logarithmic price return, we find that the properties of price return in bitFlyer are completely different from others. To find the possible reasons, we find that the abnormal ask price and bid price appear simultaneously in bitFlyer, which may be potentially linked to either price manipulation or money laundering. It verifies our conjecture that there may be abnormity or price manipulation in Bitcoin platforms. Furthermore, our findings in price return could also provide an innovative and effective method to detect the abnormity in Bitcoin platforms.
机译:自诞生之日起,比特币市场就成为经济市场的关注焦点,受到了学术界和工业界的广泛关注。由于比特币市场缺乏法规,可能更容易带来某些非法行为。因此,这引发了一个有趣的问题:比特币平台中是否存在异常或非法行为?为了回答这个问题,我们调查了五个领先的比特币平台的异常情况。通过分析财务指标(即归一化的对数价格回报),我们发现bitFlyer中的价格回报属性与其他属性完全不同。为了找到可能的原因,我们发现异常要价和买价同时出现在bitFlyer中,这可能与价格操纵或洗钱有关。它验证了我们的推测,即比特币平台中可能存在异常或价格操纵。此外,我们在价格回报方面的发现还可以提供一种创新有效的方法来检测比特币平台中的异常情况。

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