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Species-rich ecosystems are vulnerable to cascading extinctions in an increasingly variable world

机译:在日益变化的世界中物种丰富的生态系统很容易遭受级联的灭绝

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摘要

Global warming leads to increased intensity and frequency of weather extremes. Such increased environmental variability might in turn result in increased variation in the demographic rates of interacting species with potentially important consequences for the dynamics of food webs. Using a theoretical approach, we here explore the response of food webs to a highly variable environment. We investigate how species richness and correlation in the responses of species to environmental fluctuations affect the risk of extinction cascades. We find that the risk of extinction cascades increases with increasing species richness, especially when correlation among species is low. Initial extinctions of primary producer species unleash bottom-up extinction cascades, especially in webs with specialist consumers. In this sense, species-rich ecosystems are less robust to increasing levels of environmental variability than species-poor ones. Our study thus suggests that highly species-rich ecosystems such as coral reefs and tropical rainforests might be particularly vulnerable to increased climate variability.
机译:全球变暖导致极端天气的强度和频率增加。这种增加的环境可变性反过来可能导致相互作用物种的人口统计变化率增加,从而对食物网的动态产生潜在的重要影响。我们使用一种理论方法来探索食物网对高度变化的环境的响应。我们调查物种丰富度和物种对环境波动的响应中的相关性如何影响灭绝级联的风险。我们发现灭绝级联的风险随着物种丰富度的增加而增加,尤其是当物种之间的相关性较低时。初级生产者物种的最初灭绝释放出自下而上的灭绝级联,尤其是在具有专业消费者的网中。从这个意义上说,物种丰富的生态系统对环境变异水平的提高不如物种稀少的生态系统那么健壮。因此,我们的研究表明,物种高度丰富的生态系统(例如珊瑚礁和热带雨林)可能尤其容易受到气候变化的影响。

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