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Solar forcing synchronizes decadal North Atlantic climate variability

机译:太阳强迫迫使北大西洋年代际气候变化

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摘要

Quasi-decadal variability in solar irradiance has been suggested to exert a substantial effect on Earth's regional climate. In the North Atlantic sector, the 11-year solar signal has been proposed to project onto a pattern resembling the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), with a lag of a few years due to ocean-atmosphere interactions. The solar/NAO relationship is, however, highly misrepresented in climate model simulations with realistic observed forcings. In addition, its detection is particularly complicated since NAO quasi-decadal fluctuations can be intrinsically generated by the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. Here we compare two multi-decadal ocean-atmosphere chemistry-climate simulations with and without solar forcing variability. While the experiment including solar variability simulates a 1–2-year lagged solar/NAO relationship, comparison of both experiments suggests that the 11-year solar cycle synchronizes quasi-decadal NAO variability intrinsic to the model. The synchronization is consistent with the downward propagation of the solar signal from the stratosphere to the surface.
机译:有人提出太阳辐照度的准年代际变化会对地球的区域气候产生重大影响。在北大西洋地区,已经提出将11年的太阳信号投射到类似于北大西洋涛动(NAO)的模式上,由于海洋与大气之间的相互作用,会滞后几年。但是,在具有实际观察到的强迫的气候模型模拟中,太阳/ NAO关系被严重歪曲了。此外,它的检测特别复杂,因为NAO准年代际波动可能是由耦合的海洋-大气系统固有地产生的。在这里,我们比较了有和没有太阳强迫变化的两个多年代际海洋-大气化学-气候模拟。尽管包括太阳可变性的实验模拟了1-2年滞后的太阳/ NAO关系,但两个实验的比较表明,11年的太阳周期同步了模型固有的准十年NAO可变性。同步与太阳信号从平流层向下传播到地面一致。

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