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Species Distribution Modelling: Contrasting presence-only models with plot abundance data

机译:物种分布建模:将仅存在模型与图丰度数据进行对比

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摘要

Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology and conservation. Presence-only SDMs such as MaxEnt frequently use natural history collections (NHCs) as occurrence data, given their huge numbers and accessibility. NHCs are often spatially biased which may generate inaccuracies in SDMs. Here, we test how the distribution of NHCs and MaxEnt predictions relates to a spatial abundance model, based on a large plot dataset for Amazonian tree species, using inverse distance weighting (IDW). We also propose a new pipeline to deal with inconsistencies in NHCs and to limit the area of occupancy of the species. We found a significant but weak positive relationship between the distribution of NHCs and IDW for 66% of the species. The relationship between SDMs and IDW was also significant but weakly positive for 95% of the species, and sensitivity for both analyses was high. Furthermore, the pipeline removed half of the NHCs records. Presence-only SDM applications should consider this limitation, especially for large biodiversity assessments projects, when they are automatically generated without subsequent checking. Our pipeline provides a conservative estimate of a species’ area of occupancy, within an area slightly larger than its extent of occurrence, compatible to e.g. IUCN red list assessments.
机译:物种分布模型(SDM)被广泛用于生态和保护。鉴于MaxEnt之类的仅存在状态SDM数量庞大且易于访问,因此它们经常将自然历史记录(NHC)用作发生数据。 NHC通常在空间上存在偏差,这可能会在SDM中产生误差。在这里,我们使用反距离权重(IDW),基于亚马逊树种的大图数据集,测试NHC和MaxEnt预测的分布与空间丰度模型的关系。我们还提出了一条新的管道来处理NHC中的不一致之处,并限制该物种的居住面积。我们发现66%的物种的NHC与IDW分布之间存在显着但弱的正相关。 SDM和IDW之间的关系也很重要,但对95%的物种呈弱正相关,并且两种分析的灵敏度都很高。此外,管道还删除了一半的NHC记录。仅在场的SDM应用程序应自动生成而无需后续检查时,应考虑到此限制,尤其是对于大型生物多样性评估项目。我们的管道提供了一个物种占用区域的保守估计,该区域的面积略大于其发生范围,与例如IUCN红色名录评估。

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