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Software Design Challenges in Time Series Prediction Systems Using Parallel Implementation of Artificial Neural Networks

机译:使用人工神经网络并行实现的时间序列预测系统中的软件设计挑战

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摘要

Software development life cycle has been characterized by destructive disconnects between activities like planning, analysis, design, and programming. Particularly software developed with prediction based results is always a big challenge for designers. Time series data forecasting like currency exchange, stock prices, and weather report are some of the areas where an extensive research is going on for the last three decades. In the initial days, the problems with financial analysis and prediction were solved by statistical models and methods. For the last two decades, a large number of Artificial Neural Networks based learning models have been proposed to solve the problems of financial data and get accurate results in prediction of the future trends and prices. This paper addressed some architectural design related issues for performance improvement through vectorising the strengths of multivariate econometric time series models and Artificial Neural Networks. It provides an adaptive approach for predicting exchange rates and it can be called hybrid methodology for predicting exchange rates. This framework is tested for finding the accuracy and performance of parallel algorithms used.
机译:软件开发生命周期的特点是,计划,分析,设计和编程等活动之间存在破坏性的脱节。特别是基于预测结果开发的软件始终是设计人员面临的巨大挑战。时间序列数据预测(例如货币兑换,股票价格和天气报告)是过去三十年中进行广泛研究的一些领域。最初的日子里,财务分析和预测问题是通过统计模型和方法解决的。在过去的二十年中,已经提出了许多基于人工神经网络的学习模型,以解决财务数据问题并在预测未来趋势和价格时获得准确的结果。本文通过矢量化多元计量经济时间序列模型和人工神经网络的优势,解决了一些与建筑设计相关的性能改进问题。它提供了一种预测汇率的自适应方法,可以称为预测汇率的混合方法。经过测试,可以发现所用并行算法的准确性和性能。

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