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Material Flow Analysis of Fossil Fuels in China during 2000–2010

机译:2000-2010年中国化石燃料物质流分析

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摘要

Since the relationship between the supply and demand of fossil fuels is on edge in the long run, the contradiction between the economic growth and limited resources will hinder the sustainable development of the Chinese society. This paper aims to analyze the input of fossil fuels in China during 2000–2010 via the material flow analysis (MFA) that takes hidden flows into account. With coal, oil, and natural gas quantified by MFA, three indexes, consumption and supply ratio (C/S ratio), resource consumption intensity (RCI), and fossil fuels productivity (FFP), are proposed to reflect the interactions between population, GDP, and fossil fuels. The results indicated that in the past 11 years, China's requirement for fossil fuels has been increasing continuously because of the growing mine productivity in domestic areas, which also leads to a single energy consumption structure as well as excessive dependence on the domestic exploitation. It is advisable to control the fossil fuels consumption by energy recycling and new energy facilities' popularization in order to lead a sustainable access to nonrenewable resources and decrease the soaring carbon emissions.
机译:从长远来看,由于化石燃料的供求关系处于边缘状态,因此经济增长与有限资源之间的矛盾将阻碍中国社会的可持续发展。本文旨在通过物质流分析(MFA)分析2000-2010年中国化石燃料的输入,其中考虑了隐性流。利用MFA对煤,石油和天然气进行量化,提出了三个指标,即供求比(C / S比),资源消耗强度(RCI)和化石燃料生产率(FFP),以反映人口之间的相互作用, GDP和化石燃料。结果表明,在过去的11年中,由于国内矿山生产率的提高,中国对化石燃料的需求一直在不断增长,这也导致了单一的能源消耗结构以及对国内开采的过度依赖。建议通过能源回收和新能源设施的普及来控制化石燃料的消耗,以引导可持续获取不可再生资源并减少飞涨的碳排放。

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