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Assessing the land resource–food price nexus of the Sustainable Development Goals

机译:评估可持续发展目标的土地资源-粮食价格关系

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摘要

The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call for a comprehensive new approach to development rooted in planetary boundaries, equity, and inclusivity. The wide scope of the SDGs will necessitate unprecedented integration of siloed policy portfolios to work at international, regional, and national levels toward multiple goals and mitigate the conflicts that arise from competing resource demands. In this analysis, we adopt a comprehensive modeling approach to understand how coherent policy combinations can manage trade-offs among environmental conservation initiatives and food prices. Our scenario results indicate that SDG strategies constructed around Sustainable Consumption and Production policies can minimize problem-shifting, which has long placed global development and conservation agendas at odds. We conclude that Sustainable Consumption and Production policies (goal 12) are most effective at minimizing trade-offs and argue for their centrality to the formulation of coherent SDG strategies. We also find that alternative socioeconomic futures—mainly, population and economic growth pathways—generate smaller impacts on the eventual achievement of land resource–related SDGs than do resource-use and management policies. We expect that this and future systems analyses will allow policy-makers to negotiate trade-offs and exploit synergies as they assemble sustainable development strategies equal in scope to the ambition of the SDGs.
机译:17个可持续发展目标(SDG)呼吁采用一种以行星边界,公平和包容性为基础的全面的新发展方法。可持续发展目标的广泛范围将需要前所未有的孤立的政策组合进行整合,以在国际,区域和国家层面上朝着多个目标努力,并缓解因竞争的资源需求而引起的冲突。在此分析中,我们采用一种全面的建模方法来了解连贯的政策组合如何管理环境保护计划与食品价格之间的权衡。我们的情景结果表明,围绕可持续消费和生产政策构建的SDG战略可以最大程度地减少问题转移,这长期以来一直使全球发展和保护议程陷入歧义。我们得出结论,可持续消费和生产政策(目标12)在最小化权衡方面最有效,并争辩说它们在制定连贯的可持续发展目标战略中具有中心地位。我们还发现,与资源利用和管理政策相比,替代性的社会经济未来(主要是人口和经济增长途径)对最终实现与土地资源有关的可持续发展目标的影响较小。我们希望,此以及未来的系统分析将使决策者能够在权衡可持续发展战略的范围内与可持续发展目标的雄心壮志进行权衡取舍,并发挥协同作用。

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