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Skunk and Raccoon Rabies in the Eastern United States: Temporal and Spatial Analysis

机译:美国东部的臭鼬和浣熊狂犬:时空分析

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摘要

Since 1981, an epizootic of raccoon rabies has spread throughout the eastern United States. A concomitant increase in reported rabies cases in skunks has raised concerns that an independent maintenance cycle of rabies virus in skunks could become established, affecting current strategies of wildlife rabies control programs. Rabies surveillance data from 1981 through 2000 obtained from the health departments of 11 eastern states were used to analyze temporal and spatial characteristics of rabies epizootics in each species. Spatial analysis indicated that epizootics in raccoons and skunks moved in a similar direction from 1990 to 2000. Temporal regression analysis showed that the number of rabid raccoons predicted the number of rabid skunks through time, with a 1-month lag. In areas where the raccoon rabies virus variant is enzootic, spatio-temporal analysis does not provide evidence that this rabies virus variant is currently cycling independently among skunks.
机译:自1981年以来,浣熊狂犬病的流行已遍及美国东部。据报道,臭鼬中狂犬病病例的同时增加引起了人们的担忧,即臭鼬中狂犬病病毒的独立维持周期可能会建立,从而影响当前野生动植物狂犬病控制计划的策略。从东部11个州的卫生部门获得的1981年至2000年的狂犬病监测数据用于分析每种物种中狂犬病流行的时空特征。空间分析表明,从1990年到2000年,浣熊和臭鼬的流行病趋势相似。时间回归分析显示,狂犬病的浣熊数量预测了整个时间的狂犬病数量,且滞后了1个月。在浣熊狂犬病病毒变种是动物传染病的地区,时空分析不能提供证据证明这种狂犬病病毒变种目前在臭鼬中独立循环。

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