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Meningococcal carriage by age in the African meningitis belt: a systematic review and meta-analysis

机译:非洲脑膜炎带中按年龄划分的脑膜炎球菌运输:系统评价和荟萃分析

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摘要

Meningococcal carriage dynamics drive patterns of invasive disease. The distribution of carriage by age has been well described in Europe, but not in the African meningitis belt, a region characterised by frequent epidemics of meningitis. We aimed to estimate the age-specific prevalence of meningococcal carriage by season in the African meningitis belt. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library and grey literature for papers reporting carriage of Neisseria meningitidis in defined age groups in the African meningitis belt. We used a mixed-effects logistic regression to model meningococcal carriage prevalence as a function of age, adjusting for season, location and year. Carriage prevalence increased from low prevalence in infants (0.595% in the rainy season, 95% CI 0.482–0.852%) to a broad peak at age 10 (1.94%, 95% CI 1.87–2.47%), then decreased in adolescence. The odds of carriage were significantly increased during the dry season (OR 1.5 95% CI 1.4–1.7) and during outbreaks (OR 6.7 95% CI 1.6–29). Meningococcal carriage in the African meningitis belt peaks at a younger age compared to Europe. This is consistent with contact studies in Africa, which show that children 10–14 years have the highest frequency of contacts. Targeting older children in Africa for conjugate vaccination may be effective in reducing meningococcal transmission.
机译:脑膜炎球菌运输动力学驱动侵入性疾病的模式。在欧洲,已经很好地描述了按年龄划分的马车分布,但在以脑膜炎频繁流行为特征的非洲脑膜炎带中却没有。我们的目的是按季节估算非洲脑膜炎带中按年龄划分的脑膜炎球菌携带率。我们在PubMed,Web of Science,Cochrane图书馆和灰色文献中搜索了报告在非洲脑膜炎带特定年龄段携带脑膜炎奈瑟氏球菌的论文。我们使用混合效应逻辑回归模型来模拟脑膜炎球菌携带率随年龄的变化,并根据季节,位置和年份进行调整。婴儿期的患病率从婴儿的低患病率(雨季的0.595%,95%CI 0.482–0.852%)上升到10岁时的一个高峰(1.94%,95%CI 1.87–2.47%),然后在青春期下降。在干旱季节(OR 1.5 95%CI 1.4-1.7)和暴发期间(OR 6.7 95%CI 1.6-29),运输的几率显着增加。与欧洲相比,非洲脑膜炎带的脑膜炎球菌感染高峰期更年轻。这与非洲的接触研究一致,该研究表明10至14岁的儿童接触的频率最高。针对非洲年龄较大的儿童进行复合疫苗接种可能会有效减少脑膜炎球菌的传播。

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