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A demonstration of modeling count data with an application to physical activity

机译:演示如何对体育锻炼中的计数数据进行建模

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摘要

Counting outcomes such as days of physical activity or servings of fruits and vegetables often have distributions that are highly skewed toward the right with a preponderance of zeros, posing analytical challenges. This paper demonstrates how such outcomes may be analyzed with several modifications to Poisson regression.Five regression models 1) Poisson, 2) overdispersed Poisson, 3) negative binomial, 4) zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP), and 5) zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) are fitted to data assessing predictors of vigorous physical activity (VPA) among Latina women. The models are described, and analytical and graphical approaches are discussed to aid in model selection.Poisson regression provided a poor fit where 82% of the subjects reported no days of VPA. The fit improved considerably with the negative binomial and ZIP models. There was little difference in fit between the ZIP and ZINB models. Overall, the ZIP model fit best. No days of VPA were associated with poorer self-reported health and less assimilation to Anglo culture, and marginally associated with increasing BMI. The intensity portion of the model suggested that increasing days of VPA were associated with more education, and marginally associated with increasing age. These underutilized models provide useful approaches for handling counting outcomes.
机译:计算诸如体育锻炼天数或水果和蔬菜份数之类的结果时,其分布往往偏向右偏,多数为零,这给分析带来了挑战。本文演示了如何通过对Poisson回归进行一些修改来分析此类结果。五个回归模型1)Poisson,2)过散Poisson,3)负二项式,4)零膨胀Poisson(ZIP)和5)零膨胀负二项式(ZINB)适合评估拉丁裔女性剧烈体育锻炼(VPA)的预测指标。描述了模型,并讨论了分析和图形方法以帮助模型选择。泊松回归拟合度差,其中82%的受试者报告无VPA天数。负二项式和ZIP模型大大提高了拟合度。 ZIP和ZINB模型之间的拟合度几乎没有差异。总体而言,ZIP模型最合适。没有VPA的日子与自我报告的健康状况较差,对盎格鲁文化的同化程度降低有关,与BMI升高之间的关系也很小。该模型的强度部分表明,VPA的天数增加与受过更多的教育有关,而与年龄的增加有一点关系。这些未充分利用的模型为处理计数结果提供了有用的方法。

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