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Time trends and demography of mortality after fractured neck of femur in an English population 1968-98: database study

机译:1968-98年英国人群股骨颈骨折后的时间趋势和人口统计学:数据库研究

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摘要

>Objectives To investigate time trends in mortality after admission to hospital for fractured neck of femur from 1968 to 1998, and to report on the effects of demographic factors on mortality.>Design Analysis of hospital inpatient statistics for fractured neck of femur, incorporating linkage to death certificates.>Setting Four counties in southern England.>Subjects 32 590 people aged 65 years or over admitted to hospital with fractured neck of femur between 1968 and 1998.>Main outcome measures Case fatality rates at 30, 90, and 365 days after admission, and standardised mortality ratios at monthly intervals up to one year after admission.>Results Case fatality rates declined between the 1960s and the early 1980s, but there was no appreciable fall thereafter. They increased sharply with increasing age: for example, fatality rates at 30 days in 1984-98 increased from 4% in men aged 64-69 years to 31% in those aged ≥ 90. They were higher in men than women, and in social classes IV and V than in classes I and II. In the first month after fracture, standardised mortality ratios in women were 16 times higher, and those in men 12 times higher, than mortality in the same age group in the general population.>Conclusions The high mortality rates, and the fact that they have not fallen over the past 20 years, reinforce the need for measures to prevent osteoporosis and falls and their consequences in elderly people. Whether post-fracture mortality has fallen to an irreducible minimum, or whether further decline is possible, is unclear.
机译:>目的调查1968年至1998年股骨颈骨折入院后死亡率的时间趋势,并报告人口统计学因素对死亡率的影响。>设计股骨颈骨折的医院住院统计数据,并与死亡证明书相关联。>设置英格兰南部的四个县。>受试者 32590名年龄在65岁以上的人因骨折而入院1968年至1998年之间是股骨颈。>主要结局指标:入院后30、90和365天的病死率以及入院后一年内每月间隔的标准死亡率。>结果在1960年代至1980年代初期,病死率有所下降,但此后没有明显下降。随着年龄的增长,死亡率急剧上升:例如,1984-98年的30天死亡率从64-69岁的男性的4%上升到90岁以上的31%。男性高于女性,在社会上IV级和V级要比I级和II级高。骨折后的第一个月,女性的标准死亡率比一般人群中同一年龄组的死亡率高16倍,男性的标准死亡率高12倍。>结论而且它们在过去20年中从未跌落,这增加了对预防骨质疏松和跌倒及其对老年人的影响的必要性。目前尚不清楚骨折后死亡率是否已降至无法降低的最低水平,或者是否有可能进一步降低。

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