湖北省工业废水污染物与经济增长计量模型研究

摘要

Based on the theory of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and economic data of Hubei Province from 1999 to 2009, the paper simulated the relationship between industrial wastewater pollutants and economic growth. The results indicated that the EKC of industrial wastewater quantity and COD in industrial wastewater showed an "inverted N" shape; the EKC of volatile phenol, petroleum and NH3 -N in industrial wastewater all showed a straight line shape; the EKC of Pb in industrial wastewater showed a "U" shape. According to the results, the paper analyzed characteristic of EKC and provided inspiration and scientific basis for the coordinated development of environmental protection and economic development in Hubei Province.%根据环境库兹涅茨理论(Environmental Kuznets Curve,EKC),基于1999～2009年湖北省环境经济数据,对工业废水污染物与经济增长的关系进行回归模拟.研究结果表明,工业废水排放量和工业废水中COD的EKC曲线呈倒N型；工业废水中挥发酚、石油类和氨氮的EKC曲线呈直线型；工业废水中铅的EKC曲线呈U型.根据模拟结果分析了EKC曲线特征,为湖北省的环境保护与经济建设协调发展提供一定的启发作用和科学依据.