新时期影响负荷预测准确率的因素及对策探讨

摘要

Load forecasting in power system monitoring and scheduling process plays an important role.Exploring the relationship between power system load and the influencing factors, and according to the existing data of load in power system can make pre estimates and projections.This is the key work to ensure reasonable preparation grid maintenance plans, arrangements for the grid operation mode and guarantee the safe and stable operation of the power grid, power grid balance supply and demand relations.The correct analysis of factors which affect the load forecast and reasonable strategy become the most important power system in the new period.%负荷预测在电力系统监控与调度过程中发挥着重要的作用,探索电力系统负荷与其影响因素之间存在的联系,并根据已有数据对今后电力系统可能产生的负荷做出预先的估计和推测,是保证合理编制电网检修计划、安排电网运行方式以及保证电网安全稳定运行、平衡电网供需关系的关键性工作,对影响负荷预测的因素进行正确分析并制定合理的应对策略将成为新时期电力系统工作的重中之重.