水面舰艇采用不同规避方式对潜射声自导鱼雷命中概率影响研究磁

摘要

In order to study the influence of vessel evasive tactics on sub‐launched acoustic homing torpedo and choose the most suitable evasive maneuver in different operational situations ,this paper firstly establishes torpedo ballistic model , torpedo maneuvering model and vessel maneuvering model based on the typical process in which a torpedo attacks vessel , then make simulating calculations quantitatively with Monte Carlo method .The analyzed results indicate that evasive maneu‐ver have a great impact on torpedo's hit probability .On the basis of simulating results ,some favorable vessel evasive meth‐ods are suggested and some problems such as how to use it when being combined with countermeasure equipments are dis‐cussed .The results may provide reference for maximizing evasive maneuver's role in torpedo defense operation .%以潜艇使用声自导鱼雷对舰艇鱼雷攻击为例，围绕分析舰艇机动规避对鱼雷命中概率的影响这一主线进行了鱼雷弹道、鱼雷机动、舰艇机动等模型的构建，通过采用蒙特卡洛方法仿真计算并定量分析结果，优选了舰艇在不同对抗态势下的机动规避方式，阐述了舰艇规避方法与对抗器材结合使用时应注意的时机，为更好发挥其在鱼雷防御作战中的作用提供理论参考。