城市居民用户小时用气量预测的研究

摘要

通过指数平滑法和抽样分析来预测某小区居民用户小时用气量，提出能够保证非正常工况下(燃气管道抢维修或接驳作业等)燃气用户正常连续用气的预测系数，降低作业成本，增加效率，提升安全可靠性。%By the exponential smoothing method and sampling analysis to predict the hourly gas consumption of some residential customers,thepredicting coefficient ensuring gas supply normally under abnormal conditions has been put forward, which is helpful to reduce operating costs, increaseefficiency, and improve safety and reliability as well.