首页> 中文期刊> 《科技进步与对策》 >创新投入影响产业结构优化升级路径分析——基于本地效应与多元空间溢出效应

创新投入影响产业结构优化升级路径分析——基于本地效应与多元空间溢出效应

         

摘要

Taking the provincial area of China as the research object .This paper′s theoretical analysis thinks that :a prov-ince′s innovation factor input can affect local and other provinces′structure optimization and industrial upgrading through a direct path and three indirect paths ,and this paper .This paper uses EDSA and static and dynamic spatial panel model to conduct empirical research .The results suggest that :through the direct path ,local province′s innovation capital input can promote local structure optimization and industrial upgrading .local province′s human capital investment on innovation can improve rationalization of local industrial structure largely .A province′s human capital investment on innovation hindered the development of other provinces′ advancement of industrial structure through the crowding-up effect .But because of spillover mechanism such as synergistic effect of innovation input ,local innovation capital input can promote other prov-inces′structure optimization and industrial upgrading through three indirect paths and human capital investment can im-prove their rationalization of industrial structure .Chinese structure optimization and industrial upgrading continus with dy-mic positive forward .%以中国省级区域为研究对象,分析得出本省创新投入可以通过1条直接路径和3条间接路径影响本地及其它省产业结构优化升级,并利用ESDA、静态和动态空间面板模型进行实证研究.结果表明:直接路径下创新资金投入对本地产业结构优化升级具有明显促进效应,创新人员投入则显著提高了本省产业结构合理化水平.本省创新人员投入通过"挤占效应"阻碍了其它省产业结构高级化发展.在创新投入的"协同效应"、产业结构变迁的"趋同效应"及官产学研的"协作效应"等空间溢出机制作用下,创新资金投入通过3条间接路径促进了其它省产业结构优化升级,创新人员投入则提高了外省产业结构合理化水平.前期产业结构高级化和合理化对后期产业结构发展具有动态影响.

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