电力市场中市场力风险预警系统的构建

摘要

按照SCP分析框架设计市场力风险预警指标体系,并通过构建预警模型确定预警界限,根据不同的警限设置预警信号和划分预警等级来构建市场力风险预警系统.电力监管部门可根据预警系统的运作对市场力风险进行调控和决策.同时,为使预警系统能够动态地和全面地监控市场力风险,提出两点政策建议,一是建立市场力风险预警制度;二是适时调整和完善市场力风险预警系统.%Early warning system of market power risk can ensure the effective operation of electricity market.The early warning indicator of market power risk is designed in accordance with SCP framework.The author determines the boundaries of early warning by building an early warning model, sets early warning signals through early warning limit, and divides early warning into different level.Therefore, the power regulatory authorities may control market power risk and make decision in accordance with the operations of early warning system.Meanwhile, the author suggests that we should establish an early - warning institution, and timely adjust and improve early warning system of market power risk in order to dynamically and comprehensively monitor market power risk.