基于突变理论的交通抢险队应急能力评价方法研究

摘要

According to analysis the influence of emergency capability of communications rescue team, this paper establishes an evaluating index system refer to three-stage model for emergency management. Based on cusp catastrophic model, swallowtail catastrophic mo%通过分析交通抢险队应急能力的影响因素，参照应急管理的三阶段模型建立了评价指标体系；基于尖点突变模型、燕尾突变模型和蝴蝶突变模型，提出了交通抢险队应急能力评价的突变评价方法；进行实例分析并与AHP-模糊综合评价模型的评价结果比较，验证了这种评价方法的可行性。