基于划代研究的中国运载火箭未来发展趋势分析

摘要

In this paper, the Chinese launch vehicles generation research is carried out and the launch vehicles are classed to different generations. The generation standard is proposed, and 6 catalogs and 29 criterions are mentioned. According to the generation standard, the Chinese launch vehicles are divided to four generations, and the development trend is analyzed.%首次对中国运载火箭开展了代际划分研究，完成中国运载火箭划代技术指标提取和划代标准分析，提出6大类29小项技术指标、确定117项评分准则。根据梳理出的划代标准，完成中国运载火箭划代分析研究，结合划代结果分析了中国运载火箭未来发展趋势。