一次性运载火箭飞行失利量化分析研究

摘要

对1957~2014年全球29个一次性运载火箭系列的发射情况进行统计，从构型、故障子级、首飞、级数、规模、推进剂种类、故障所属分系统、载人、故障原因等多个维度对国内外运载火箭发射失利情况进行了故障统计分析，在量化分析数据的基础上，提出确保我国运载火箭高任务成功率的发展建议。%The failures of world’s major 29 serous of launch vehicles, from 1957 to 2014, are reviewed. This study takes many aspects into consideration, such as types, failure stage, maiden fights, stage number, capabilities, propellant categories, failure subsystem, manned vehicle and failure causes, to analyze the causes of failures of launch vehicles all over the world. Based on data quantification analysis, pertinent suggestions are provided for keeping the high mission success rate of China Long March series launch vehicles.