Assessment on the New Round of Middle East Turbulence

摘要

After several years" unrest,"turbulence" becomes the main characteristic of current Middle East situation.Firstly,democracy transformation fails to pave a new way for the Middle East states,and these states have to continue to search for a suitable governance model in the future;Secondly,gamble of regional power emerges as a New Cold War,which is "geopolitics competition plus sectarian conflict".Thirdly,the rise of"Islamic State" shakes the basis of regional system.Finally,US's existing plan is disrupted and faces a dilemma.In the near future,the Middle East will come into a period of turbulence.