首页> 中文期刊> 《气象与环境研究:英文版》 >Probability Distribution Characteristics of Extreme Rainfall in Beijiang River Basin

Probability Distribution Characteristics of Extreme Rainfall in Beijiang River Basin

         

摘要

7 kinds of probability distribution functions were used to fit extreme rainfall indexes R1d( the maximum 1-d rainfall in the year) and R5d( the maximum continuous 5-d rainfall in the year) at 18 observation stations of Beijiang River basin,and linear moment method was used to estimate parameters. According to fitting goodness test,the best probability distribution function was determined. On this basis,spatial analysis of design values of R1d and R5d with 50-a and 100-a reappearance periods was conducted. Via further selection,GH Copula was taken as connection function,and R1d-R5d joint probability distribution in the basin was studied. The results showed that R1d or R5d probability with 50-a and 100-a reappearance periods was larger in Wengyuan and Qingyuan,while R1d and R5d co-occurrence probability with 50-a and 100-a reappearance periods was larger in central north region.

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