Analysis of an Unsuccessful Forecast for a Heavy Rainfall Event in Yingkou

摘要

[Objective] The reason for the unsuccessful forecast of a heavy rainfall event in Yingkou was analyzed. [Method] Based on the precipitation data observed by automatic weather stations and MICAPS data, a heavy rainfall Event was studied in Yingkou from 19 July to 21 July in 2010. Then the analysis of an unsuccessful forecasting for the heavy rainfall on 21 July was illustrated by CINRAD-SA data, satellite data and numerical forecast products. [Result] The main reason for the unsuccessful forecast was that th...