The stationary solution of a random dynamical model

摘要

This paper studies the stationary probability density function(PDF) solution of a nonlinear business cycle model subjected to random shocks of Gaussian white-noise type. The PDF solution is controlled by a Fokker–Planck– Kolmogorov(FPK) equation, and we use exponential polynomial closure(EPC) method to derive an approximate solution for the FPK equation. Numerical results obtained from EPC method, better than those from Gaussian closure method, show good agreement with the probability distribution obtained with Monte Carlo simulation including the tail regions.