Resorting to mathematical modelling approach to contain the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak

摘要

The coronavirus disease-2019(COVID-19)outbreak continues to expand both in terms of its geographical distribution and in terms of the caseload across the world[1].In fact,the estimates released suggest that till 19 March 2020,a total of 209839 cases of the disease were reported,of which the Western Pacific and the Eastern Mediterranean region accounts for 85.5%of the overall cases.The global case-fatality ratio is 4.18%and it is rapidly rising in various regions of the world[1].The outbreak started in the form of a cluster of pneumonia cases in China has promptly spread to more than 150 other nations and became a major cause of public health concern as we have fallen short of our efforts to contain the spread of the novel infection[1].