阿尔塔什水利枢纽工程水库诱发地震预测

摘要

阿尔塔什水利枢纽工程区域地质及地震环境复杂,根据水库区地质构造特点划分库段,根据地质构造环境及水文地质结构面等级划分进行了水库诱发地震预测,并采用概率统计检验法、建立统计预测模型进行了分析预测,供同行参考.%The geological and earthquake environment of Aertashi Hydro Project are very complex. Here, according to the geological structure characteristics of the reservoir, the reservoir is divided to different parts, at the same time, based on the geological tectonic environment and hydrogeological structure face levels, the reservoir-induced earthquake is calculated and predicted, and by the probability and statistics test, the prediction model is set up for analysis and prediction, providing references for same trade.