基于逆向思维的圣彼得堡悖论数量模型研究及应用

摘要

The reverse thinking method was adopted to set up St. Petersburg paradox quantity model,and the influence of sample size was discussed to avoid decision making mistakes by not sensitive to the base rate and the sample sizes in the decision-making process. The model was applied in practical problems to solve the questions of product or service pricing and related decision makings, and to discuss these effects on inflation.%运用逆向思维的方法建立圣彼得堡悖论数量模型,并讨论样本规模对它的影响.从而避免决策过程中,由于对基率和样本大小不敏感引起的决策失误,将这一模型运用到实际问题中,解决产品或服务定价问题、决策问题及其对通货膨胀的影响.