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INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION IN GERMANY AND AUSTRIA: A CASE STUDY IN STRUCTURAL TIME SERIES MODELLING

机译:德国和奥地利的工业生产:结构时间序列建模的案例研究

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摘要

Industrial production series are volatile and often cyclical. Time series models can be used to establish certain stylized facts, such as trends and cycles, which may be present in these series. In certain situations, it is also possible that common factors, which may have an interesting interpretation, can be detected in production series. Series from two neighboring countries with close economic relationships, such as Germany and Austria, are especially likely to exhibit such joint stylized facts.
机译:工业生产系列是易变的,通常是周期性的。时间序列模型可用于建立某些风格化的事实,例如趋势和周期,这些事实可能会出现在这些序列中。在某些情况下,也有可能在生产系列中检测到可能具有有趣解释的公共因素。来自两个有着密切经济关系的邻国(例如德国和奥地利)的丛书尤其可能表现出这种共同的事实。

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