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MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM

机译:基于复杂自适应系统的能源系统建模与分析

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摘要

Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems. In this paper, the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first. Considering the characteristic of energy system, it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system. After the evolutionary law is analysed, the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM, which is a simulation software platform. The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before. As an application, China's energy system is simulated with the model established above.China's future total energy demand in the future, energy structure and related in fiuence on environment are presented.
机译:复杂自适应系统(CAS)是自然系统和人工系统中的一种复杂系统。本文首先介绍了复杂自适应系统的理论。考虑到能源系统的特点,可以认为它是一个复杂的自适应系统。在分析了演化规律后,基于CAS和应用软件SWARM,建立了一个复杂的能源复杂系统模型。该模型不同于之前开发的模型和方法。作为一种应用,利用以上建立的模型对中国的能源系统进行了仿真。提出了中国未来的总能源需求,能源结构以及对环境的影响。

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