我国对外承包工程规模预测及发展对策研究

摘要

在对近十年我国对外承包工程事业做深入分析的基础上，综合运用灰色预测及回归分析，对2013-2017年我国对外承包工程完成营业额和新签合同额进行预测，预测结果表明未来五年我国对外承包工程发展形势依然严峻。在此基础上，分别从战略层面和实施层面提出了我国对外承包工程事业的发展策略。%Based on the analysis on China’s foreign contracted projects in the past 10 years,the ac-complished turnover and the newly signed contract value of China’s foreign contracted projects from 2013 to 2017 are predicted through the grey forecasting model and the regression analysis method. The results of prediction show that the development of China’s foreign contracted projects will still be severe in the next five years.Accordingly,some development strategies are proposed respectively from the strategic level and implementation level.