To aim at the question of the Terminal Sensitive Projectile' s Target Damage, the text is introducing the Monte Carlo Method to put up simulates emulation. By analyzing and calculating the consume Volume bomb of 155mm Terminal Sensitive Projectile, Grenade and Cluster bombs attacking the same armor aim, the efficiency of the Terminal Sensitive Projectile is evaluated. The result indicated; the damage rate of the Terminal Sensitive Projectile to formicate armor aim is bigger; the damage rate probability changes along with height and rotational speed.%针对末敏弹毁伤目标概率问题,采用蒙特卡洛算法进行模拟仿真,通过分析计算155mm末敏弹、榴弹和子母弹三种弹药攻击相同装甲目标所消耗的弹量,评估末敏弹的效能.结果表明:末敏弹对集群装甲目标毁伤效率更大,毁伤概率随末敏弹与地面目标高度和转速的变化而不同.
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