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Speed prediction models for car and sports utility vehicle at locations along four-lane median divided horizontal curves

机译:沿四车道中值分割水平曲线位置的汽车和越野车的速度预测模型

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摘要

Sites with varying geometric features were analyzed to develop the 85th percentile speed prediction models for car and sports utility vehicle (SUV) at 50 m prior to the point of curvature (PC), PC, midpoint of a curve (MC), point of tangent (PT) and 50 m beyond PT on four-lane median divided rural highways. The car and SUV speed data were combined in the analysis as they were found to be normally distributed and not significantly dif-ferent. Independent parameters representing geometric features and speed at the preceding section were logically selected in stepwise regression analyses to develop the models. Speeds at various locations were found to be dependent on some combinations of curve length, curva-ture and speed in the immediately preceding section of the highway. Curve length had a significant effect on the speed at locations 50 m prior to PC, PC and MC. The effect of curvature on speed was observed only at MC. The curve geometry did not have a significant effect on speed from PT onwards. The speed at 50 m prior to PC and curvature is the most significant parameter that affects the speed at PC and MC, respectively. Before entering a horizontal curve, drivers possibly perceive the curve based on its length. Longer curve encourages drivers to maintain higher speed in the preceding tangent section. Further, drivers start experiencing the effect of curvature only after entering the curve and adjust speed accordingly. Practitioners can use these findings in designing consistent horizontal curve for vehicle speed harmony.
机译:分析了具有不同几何特征的站点,以开发汽车和运动型多功能车(SUV)在曲率点(PC),PC,曲线中点(MC),切线点之前50 m的第85个百分位速度预测模型(PT),并且在四车道中线分开的农村公路上,距PT 50 m。由于发现汽车和SUV的速度数据呈正态分布且无明显差异,因此将它们合并在分析中。在逐步回归分析中,从逻辑上选择了代表前一部分几何特征和速度的独立参数以开发模型。人们发现,在不同位置的速度取决于高速公路前段弯道长度,曲率和速度的某些组合。在PC,PC和MC之前的50 m处,曲线长度对速度有重要影响。曲率对速度的影响仅在MC处观察到。从PT开始,曲线的几何形状对速度没有显着影响。 PC和曲率之前50 m处的速度分别是影响PC和MC处速度的最重要参数。在输入水平曲线之前,驾驶员可能会根据其长度来感知曲线。较长的曲线鼓励驾驶员在前一个切线部分保持较高的速度。此外,驾驶员只有在进入弯道后才开始体验曲率的影响,并相应地调整速度。从业人员可以利用这些发现来设计一致的水平曲线,以实现车速和谐。

著录项

  • 来源
    《现代交通学报(英文版)》 |2018年第4期|278-284|共7页
  • 作者

    Avijit Maji; Ayush Tyagi;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India;

    RITES Ltd., Vashi, Navi Mumbai, India;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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