Based on the retrospective analysis of relevant literature and the statistical observation of empirical facts,this paper proposes a conditional'resource curse'hypothesis.By using the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces from 1998 to 2014,an attempt is made to verify that the "resource curse"does not exist at the provincial level in the country.On the basis of this finding,the threshold effect on the"resource curse"is examined from the multiple perspectives of marketization process in the institution-al quality.And an empirical analysis is made of the'resource curse'problem using the panel threshold model.The results show that:1)There exists an obvious double threshold effect on the "resource curse"in the development of product market,and any progress in product market development can ef-fectively reduce the adverse effects of the resource dependence on the economy;and 2)As the degree of product market development rises,so the resource dependence makes an increasingly greater impact on the economic growth in the local area.%本文通过对已有文献的梳理分析以及对相关经验事实的统计观察,提出了有条件的"资源诅咒"这一假说.在利用 1998－2014年30个省份的面板数据来验证在中国省级层面上并不存在"资源诅咒"这一现象的基础上,从制度质量中市场化进程这一角度的多个维度考察了制度质量对"资源诅咒"可能存在的门槛效应,并且运用面板门槛模型对"资源诅咒"现象来进行阐述说明和相关的实证分析.结果显示:1)产品市场发育程度对"资源诅咒"存在着明显的双重门槛效应,市场发育程度的提高能够有效地改善资源依赖对经济的不利影响;2)随着产品市场发育程度的不断提升,资源依赖度对一地经济的影响程度呈现出一种上升的态势.
展开▼
