依据2005-2013年河南省住房施工面积、竣工面积、销售面积分别建立了住房供给和需求的预测模型,通过对级比、建模可行性进行判断,对原始数据数列进行方根处理,创建供给和需求预测模型,对残差进行检验、预测这几个步骤,得出了2017-2018年城镇住房预测供给面积和住房需求的预测情况,结果显示:住房需求呈不断上升状态,但供给呈下降状态,河南省的住房需求仍以消费原先几年的闲置房为主,新小区的建设近几年增长缓慢.%Based on the prediction model of 2005-2013 housing supply and demand in Henan province in the aspect of housing construction area,the completion area,sales area,root processing is made by means of feasibility of modeling ratio,the judgment,the original data sequence,supply and demand forecasting model is created,the prediction of the residual error test is made,the 2014-2018 urban housing supply forecasting area and housing demand forecasting results is achieved,indicating that housing demand is rising,but the supply is declining,in Henan province in the next few years the demand for housing remains consumption of idle real built several years ago,the construction of the new district will not grow too much in recent years.
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