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中韩服务业产业内贸易及其影响因素的实证分析

     

摘要

Since China and South Korea established diplomatic relations in 1992, their bilateral trade scale has expanded inceasingly, their intra-industry trade of services has also gone through rapid development in recent years. This article analyzes the level of services and sub-sectors intra-industry trade between China and South Korea by relevant indicators, and empirically analyzes Five fac- tors on the impact of intra-industry trade between the two countries, including the differences of China and South Koreas GDP growth rate (GDPG), Chinas foreign direct investment in Korea (FDI) ,the differences of industrial structure between the two countries (SG) , the degree of trade imbalance (TD) and cur- rency exchange rate between the two countries (ER) . The results show that the level of services intra-industry trade between China and South Korea is low and the main type is vertical type. However, tourism, transport and communication' s levels are higher. GDPG and FDI significantly affect GL, and TD has a weak- er significant impact on GL.%自1992年建交以来,中韩双边贸易规模不断扩大,两国服务业产业内贸易近年来也得到迅速发展。本文通过产业内贸易相关指标分析了2000-2009年中韩两国服务业及细分行业产业内贸易水平,并选取了中韩两国GDP增长率的差异(GDPG)、中国对韩国的外国直接投资(FDI)、两国产业结构的差异(SG)、贸易不平衡程度(TD)、韩币对人民币汇率(ER)五个因素实证分析了其对两国服务业产业内贸易程度(GL指数)的影响,结果表明:两国服务业产业内贸易整体水平较低并以垂直型为主,只有旅游、运输和通讯三个细分行业产业内贸易水平较高;同时GDPG和FDI对GL有显著影响,TD对GL有较显著影响。

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