根据环境经济学理论，本文采用2004～2013年中国30个省际面板数据，构建空间动态面板数据的EBA模型，实证检验烟粉尘排放与经济增长之间的环境库兹涅茨曲线关系。进而从经济增长及政府规制两个维度探寻烟粉尘排放的“稳健性”影响因素。研究发现，我国各省烟粉尘排放具有空间溢出效应；烟粉尘排放与经济增长之间不满足EKC曲线倒“U”型关系；重工业发展、能源消费结构、能源效率、地方财政支出与烟粉尘排放呈正向“稳健性”关系；产业结构升级、人口规模对烟粉尘排放呈负向“稳健性”关系。据此提出相应对策建议。%According to the theory of environmental economics , this article adopts 30 provincial panel data in China from 2003 to 2012 . We also builds EBA model of spatial factors with GIS Technology to conduct empirical study to verify whether the smoke and dust e-missions and economic growth in China adapt to Environmental Kuznets Curve . Based on this , the article studies the effect factors of the smoke and dust emissions “robust” on three dimensions , from economic development , population scale and government regulation . Re-search shows that there is no inverted “U” in EKC curve between the relationship of smoke and dust emissions in China . However , the smoke and dust emissions in Chinese provinces have prominent spatial spillover effects . The development of heavy industry , energy con-sumption structure , energy efficiency and local fiscal expenditure have a positive interference “robust” effect on the smoke and dust emis-sions , while the upgrading of industrial structure and population scale have a negative interference . According to the empirical study , rela-tive political solutions have been addressed in this article .
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