This paper used industry evolution theory and Logistics model to simulate and ana-lyze of industrial growth trend to help to give some guide to the future development of China's large aircraft industry .%综合运用产业演化理论和Logistics模型仿真分析我国大飞机产业包括产业增长率,产值等行业指标的中长期演化过程,对于指导我国大飞机未来的发展有一定的前瞻性和指导意义。
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