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鄱阳湖区洪灾风险与农户脆弱性分析

机译:鄱阳湖区洪灾风险与农户脆弱性分析

摘要

This paper quantitatively explores farmers' vulnerability to flood in the Poyang Lake Region (PLR) with the supports of GIS spatial functions. The analysis consists of three major steps, which is based on the spatial unit of township. Firstly, the spatial extent and characteristics of flood risk areas were determined using a digital elevation model (DEM) derived from the 1:50,000 topographic map. Secondly, for each of the township, six indices indicating the economic activities of local farmers were calculated. These indices are: rural population proportion, cultivated land proportion, GDP per unit area, employment proportion of primary industry, net rural income per capita and agricultural income proportion. These six indices were then normalized and used for later vulnerability assessment. Thirdly, the normalized indices (as GIS data layers) were overlaid with the flood risk areas to produce the risk coefficient for each township and to calculate the overall vulnerability for each township. The analysis results show that in the PLR there are high flood risk areas where the farmers' livings are seriously influenced or threatened. About 55.56% of the total 18O townships in the flood risk areas have a high degree of flood vulnerability. The townships under flood risk are mainly distributed in the areas around the Poyang Lake and the areas along the "five rivers".
机译:本文通过GIS空间功能的支持,定量探讨了鄱阳湖区(PLR)洪水洪水的脆弱性。分析由三个主要步骤组成,该步骤基于乡镇空间单位。首先,使用从1:50,000地形图的数字高度模型(DEM)确定洪水风险区域的空间范围和特征。其次,对于每个乡镇,计算了六个指示当地农民经济活动的指标。这些指数是:农村人口比例,耕地比例,每单位面积GDP,主要产业的就业比例,人均收入净收入和农业收入比例。然后将这六个指数标准化并用于后期漏洞评估。第三,规范化指数(作为GIS数据层)被覆盖有洪水风险区域,以产生每个乡镇的风险系数,并计算每个乡镇的整体漏洞。分析结果表明,在PLR中,农民居住的高洪水风险地区受到严重影响或威胁。洪水风险地区180名乡镇总数约55.56%具有高度洪水脆弱性。洪水风险下的乡镇主要分布在鄱阳湖周围的地区,沿着“五个河流”。

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