This article reports on a retrospective analysis on 121 patients and a prospectivestudy on 21 patients with acute cholangitis of severe type(ACST)for a study on the timing se-lection of emergency operation for ACST.Twenty two clinical,biological,etiologic,pathologicand operative variables were analyzed.Simple regression revealed 11 factors with prognosticsignificance,but multivariate analysis detected only 6 factors with independent significance inpredicting mortality(age,mean blood pressure,generalized peritonitis,serum albumin-globin ra-tio,blood culture,and the number of failed organs and systems).The results indicate that theclinical principles of treatment for ACST should be the combination of medical and surgicaltreatment.Active conservative treatment is practically applicable to the majority of ACST,espe-cially,those with short history and few complication.Prognostic mathematical model of ACSTdoes good for its timing selection of emergency operation.A critical level of 0.40 is determinedto be the discriminant score for emergency bile duct drainage.The model seems to have advan-tages over the traditional method.
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