秩相关秩相似法在枯季径流预报中的应用

摘要

In this study, the basic theory of rank correlation and rank similarity method were introduced, which was used in low flow forecasting for the Danjiangkou reservoir according to characteristics of low flow. The results show that rank correlation and rank similarity method is effective and feasible, and it may be used as reference to draw up reservoir regulation scheme.%阐述了秩相关秩相似法的基本原理,并根据枯季径流的特点,将该方法应用于丹江口水库的枯季入库径流预报.计算结果表明,该方法的预报效果比较理想,可操作性强,可供水库在实际运行中制定调度方案时应用.