of;
Epidemiology;
and;
Biostatistics,;
Nanjing;
Medical;
University;
School;
of;
Public;
Health,;
Nanjing;
210029,;
Jiangsu;
Province,;
China;
for;
Disease;
Control;
and;
Prevention;
of;
Jiangsu;
Province,;
Nanjing;
210029,;
Jiangsu;
Province,;
China;
Mathematics;
Department,;
Hohai;
University,;
Nanjing;
210029,;
Jiangsu;
Provinee,;
China;
马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法; 传染病; 发病率; 江苏省; 加权; 预测; 中国; 标准化方法;