炮弹多维密集度指标与命中概率的关系研究

摘要

The relationship between the projectile dispersion index and projectile-to-target action in the actual battle was researched by applying N-dimensional distribution theory of normal dispersion function of probability theory.The theory of dispersion calculation was deduced based on the calculation model of one-dimension and two-dimension dispersion.The calculation model of spherical error probability was proposed by researching normal distribution of three-dimension dispersion.The relationship between the multidimensional dispersion index of projectile and hitting probability was built,and the dispersion index system approaching to the requirements of actual battle was consummated.This research can instruct the demonstration,designing,checking and using of various projectiles on dispersion index.%应用概率论正态分布函数 N 维分布理论，对炮弹密集度指标和实战中炮弹对目标作用效果的关系进行了研究。通过对密集度计算理论的梳理与指导，在一维、二维密集度计算模型的基础上，通过对三维正态积分计算的研究，创新并提出球概率误差计算模型，建立了炮弹多维密集度指标与命中概率的关系，完善了更接近实战要求的密集度指标体系。研究结果可指导各类炮弹在密集度指标方面的论证、设计、考核和使用。