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The Contrast Study of Precursor Anomalies before the Ms 8.0 Wenchuan Earthquake~

机译:汶川8.0级地震前兆前兆异常对比研究〜

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摘要

The contrast research results show that the number of items and stations with imminent, short and medium term precursor anomalies for the Wenchuan Ms8.0 earthquake is less than that of the Menglian earthquake. The number of anomalies and stations associated with the Wenchuan earthquake increased in the early stage of the short-term range, as opposed to the later period for the Menglian and Lijiang earthquakes. Most of the medium term anomalies occurred two to three years before the Wenchuan earthquake, when the number of anomaly stations and items was eleven, and a great change appeared in the observation values in about half of the stations (items). However, for the Menglian earthquake, medium term anomalies happened one to two years before the earthquake, the number of abnormal stations and items reached 20, and a sharp change appeared in the observation values six months to one year before the earthquake in about 30 percent of the stations or items. In the epicenter and the nearby area, the macroscopic abnormalities started 3 years before the Wenchuan earthquake and lasted intermittently until 1 month before the earthquake. Within 2 percent of the total area of the province, the macroscopic abnormalities accounted for 30 to 50 percent of the total number of anomalies of the Province. For the Xingtai, Tangshan, Haicheng, Songpan earthquakes, the macroscopic anomalies started two to three months before, or on the very day of the earthquakes. The common feature of the precursors between the Wenchuan and other strong earthquakes is the appearance of tremendous changes in a certain number of observation values of anomalies in the mid and short terms before all these earthquakes.
机译:对比研究结果表明,汶川Ms8.0地震即将发生,短期和中期先兆异常的项目和台站数量少于孟连地震。与汶川地震有关的异常和台站数量在短期范围内的早期阶段有所增加,而孟连和丽江地震的后期则有所增加。中期异常大多数发生在汶川地震发生前的2到3年,当时异常台数和项数为11,大约一半(项目)的观测值出现了很大变化。但是,对于孟连地震,中期异常发生在地震发生前的一到两年,异常站和项的数量达到了20个,并且在地震发生前六个月到一年的观测值出现了急剧的变化,约为30%。站或项目。在震中及附近地区,宏观异常始于汶川地震发生前3年,并持续到地震发生前1个月。在该省总面积的2%以内,宏观异常占该省异常总数的30%至50%。对于邢台,唐山,海城,松潘地震,宏观异常始于地震发生的两到三个月之前或当天。汶川地震和其他强地震之间的先兆的共同特征是,在所有这些地震发生之前的中短期内,一定数量的异常观测值出现了巨大变化。

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