我国政府医疗卫生支出相对不足的计量检验

摘要

Along with the gradual vanishing demographic dividend , China is faced with the challenge of serious popula-tion aging .The aggravated population aging will require medical and health service support services .Using the panel da-ta of 1997-2011 China′s 31 regions and the system GMM dynamic panel estimation method estimates the relationship between the population aging and government health expenditure .Through the analysis we can see that the government health expenditure is relatively insufficient , can not fully meet the needs of the aging population .The introduction of pub-lic-private partnerships not only can make up for the lack of government health expenditure , but also can make the pop-ulation aging supporting service system more perfect .%伴随着人口红利的逐步消逝，我国面临着严重的人口老龄化挑战。人口老龄化的加剧必然要求医疗卫生服务的进一步完善。本文运用1997-2011年我国31个地区的面板数据，采用系统GMM动态面板估计方法对人口老龄化与政府医疗卫生支出的关系进行估计，发现我国应对人口老龄化的政府医疗卫生支出相对不足，不能完全满足老龄人口的需要，而引入公私伙伴关系不仅可以弥补政府医疗卫生支出的不足，而且能够使人口老龄化的配套服务体系更加完善。