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Measurement for coordinated development of"four modernizations" and its efficiency ofprefecture level cities or above in China

机译:中国地级以上城市“四个现代化”协调发展及其效率的测度

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The efficient and coordinated development of industrialization, urbanization, informatization and agricultural modernization(so called "Sihua Tongbu" in China, and hereinafter referred to as "four modernizations") is not only a practical need but alsoan important strategic direction of integrating urban-rural development and regional development in recent China. This paperevaluated the comprehensive, coupling and coordinated developmental indices of "four modernizations" of China's 343prefecture-level administrative units, and calculated their efficiency of "four modernizations" in 2001 and 2011. The efficiencyevaluation index system was established. The efficiencies and their changing trend during the period 2001-2011 wereinvestigated using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model. Spatial-temporal pattern of the efficiency of China's prefecture-level units was explored by using exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA). Finally, the main influencing factors wererevealed with the aid of geographically weighted regression (GWR) model. Results indicate that the comprehensive, couplingand coordinated developmental indices and efficiency of "four modernizations" of China's prefecture-level administrativeunits have obvious spatial differences and show diverse regional patterns. Overall, the efficiency is relatively low, and onlyfew units with small urban populations and economic scale are in DEA efficiencies. The efficiency changing trends weredecreasing during 2001-2011, with a transfer of high efficiency areas from inland to eastern coastal areas. The differencebetween urban and rural per capita investment in fixed assets boasts the greatest influence on the efficiency.
机译:工业化,城市化,信息化和农业现代化的有效协调发展(在中国被称为“四化通埠”,以下简称“四个现代化”)不仅是现实需要,而且是城乡一体化的重要战略方向中国最近的发展和区域发展。本文对中国343个地级行政单位“四个现代化”的综合,耦合,协调发展指数进行了评价,并分别计算了2001年和2011年“四个现代化”的效率。建立了效率评价指标体系。使用数据包络分析(DEA)模型研究了2001-2011年期间的效率及其变化趋势。通过探索性空间数据分析(ESDA),探索了中国地级单位效率的时空格局。最后,借助地理加权回归(GWR)模型揭示了主要影响因素。结果表明,中国地级行政区“四个现代化”的综合,耦合,协调发展指数和效率具有明显的空间差异,表现出多样的区域格局。总体而言,效率相对较低,只有很少的城市人口和经济规模的单位具有DEA效率。随着高效率地区从内陆向东部沿海地区的转移,效率变化趋势在2001-2011年期间呈下降趋势。城乡人均固定资产投资之差对效率的影响最大。

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