^pInternational;
Research;
Centre;
(NZC),;
Institute;
of;
Atmospheric;
Physics,;
Chinese;
Academy;
of;
Sciences,;
Beijing;
100029,;
China;
^pUniversity;
of;
Chinese;
Academy;
of;
Sciences,;
Beijing;
100049,;
China;
海气耦合模式; 可预测性; 台风活动; 影响因素; 西太平洋; 统计关系; 预测能力; 循环模型;